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Historical Vetting

Historical vetting criteria check for the alignment of scenarios with historical data. Scenarios are marked as inconsistent if they do not match reported historical real-world estimates for time periods in the past. Misalignment of a scenario means that the scenario is or has become impossible, which can often be the outcome of outdatedness of older scenarios.

Possible evaluation outcomes:

  • ok — Consistent with historical data
  • failed — Inconsistent with historical data
  • insufficient reporting — Variable not reported

Criteria: