Feasibility Concern

Feasibility criteria check for the alignment of scenarios with near-term trends and long-term developments across sectors. In the near future (i.e. next 5 years), scenarios are flagged if they substantially deviate from project announcements and market outlooks. In particular, installment rates are unlikely to exceed announced projects for technologies with long lead times (e.g. hydropower, nuclear power or carbon capture and storage). Moreover, near-term market forecasts for technologies with established markets (e.g. solar PV or wind) provide corridors of installment rates that are unlikely to be subceeded or exceeded. In the longer future (i.e. 2035 and beyond), scenarios are flagged if they report technology growth rates that are inconsistent with general growth expectations. While going above or below these near-term and long-term thresholds is not strictly impossible, those developments would require unconventional implementation and growth rates.

Possible evaluation outcomes:

• ok — No feasibility concerns
• medium — Moderate feasibility concerns
• high — Strong feasibility concerns
• not assigned — Variable not reported

Criteria:

• Biodiversity
• Deforestation
• Forest Expansion
• Land Cover
• Hydropower Capacity
• Nuclear Capacity
• Carbon Capture and Storage
• DACCS Capacity
• Solar PV Capacity
• Wind Capacity
• Onshore Wind Capacity