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Feasibility Concern|Land Cover

Why this criterion? This scenario reports land cover that is inconsistent with near-term trends.

This is a concern because the underlying modelling likely makes false assumptions on land cover and the efforts needed to reduce emissions while growing sufficient food.

Why this threshold? Near-term values for land cover are provided by Chini (2026).

The threshold for 2030 is derived from this source as follows:
• ±10% deviation will lead to exclusion.

Note that this range not only give models some leeway to deviate, but also account for uncertainty in the underlying data sources.

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Sources

Identifier Bibliographic information Links

LUH3-2026

Louise Chini and George Hurtt. Land-Use Harmonization 3 v1.2 for CMIP7 Historical (LUH3 v1.2) . March 2026. DOI