Thresholds
Each criterion is defined with one or more upper and/or lower threshold values. Scenarios with reported values outside the range are marker with the respective evaluation outcome.
The possible evaluation outcomes depend on the criterion type.
Feasibility and sustainability concerns mark scenarios as either ok, medium
or high, whereas historical vetting mark scenarios as ok or failed.
Scenarios that do not report all variables that are part of the vetting are
marked as insufficient reporting. Feasibility and sustainability concerns
where the relevant variable is not reported by the scenario are marked as
not assigned.
Some thresholds are defined in relation to some reference, as set by the reference data column. The reference data is defined separately. The values defined as thresholds therefore have to be multiplied with the values from the reference data before applying the criteria to scenario data.
Historical Vetting
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | EVALUATION OUTCOME | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | World | 2010, 2015 | CEDS-2025 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | World | 2020 | range(CEDS-2025,CEDS-2025-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | World | 2025 | CEDS-2025-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | World | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(EDGAR-2025, FAOSTAT-2026, GCB-2025, Hansis-2015, Houghton-2023, OSCAR-GCB-2023, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP, Qin-2024) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | World | 2025 | range(EDGAR-2025-extrapol25, FAOSTAT-2026, GCB-2025-extrapol25, Hansis-2015-extrapol25, Houghton-2023-extrapol25, OSCAR-GCB-2023-extrapol25, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP-extrapol25, Qin-2024-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(EDGAR-2025, FAOSTAT-2026, GCB-2025, Hansis-2015, Houghton-2023, OSCAR-GCB-2023, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP, Qin-2024) | dimensionless | failed | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | Emissions|CO2|AFOLU | All Countries | 2025 | range(EDGAR-2025-extrapol25, FAOSTAT-2026, GCB-2025-extrapol25, Hansis-2015-extrapol25, Houghton-2023-extrapol25, OSCAR-GCB-2023-extrapol25, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP-extrapol25, Qin-2024-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|AFOLU|Land | Emissions|CO2|AFOLU|Land | World | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(Gasser-2020, GCB-2025, OSCAR-GCB-2023) | dimensionless | failed | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|AFOLU|Land | Emissions|CO2|AFOLU|Land | All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | OSCAR-GCB-2023 | dimensionless | failed | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CH4|AFOLU|Agriculture | Emissions|CH4|AFOLU|Agriculture | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(EDGAR-2025, FAOSTAT-2026, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTCR, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CH4|AFOLU|Agriculture | Emissions|CH4|AFOLU|Agriculture | World, All Countries | 2025 | range(EDGAR-2025-extrapol25, FAOSTAT-2026-extrapol25, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTCR-extrapol25, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|N2O|AFOLU|Agriculture | Emissions|N2O|AFOLU|Agriculture | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(EDGAR-2025, FAOSTAT-2026, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTCR, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|N2O|AFOLU|Agriculture | Emissions|N2O|AFOLU|Agriculture | World, All Countries | 2025 | range(EDGAR-2025-extrapol25, FAOSTAT-2026-extrapol25, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTCR-extrapol25, PRIMAP-2025-v2p7-HISTTP-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Cropland Yields | Yield|Cropland|Cereals | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | FAOSTAT-2026 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Cropland Yields | Yield|Cropland|Cereals | World, All Countries | 2025 | FAOSTAT-2026-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Food Availability | Food Availability [per capita] | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | FAOSTAT-2026 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Food Availability | Food Availability [per capita] | World, All Countries | 2025 | FAOSTAT-2026-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover | Land Cover | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(FAOSTAT-2026, LUH2-2020, LUH2-GCB-2025, LUH3-2026) | dimensionless | failed | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover | Land Cover | World, All Countries | 2025 | range(FAOSTAT-2026-extrapol25, LUH2-GCB-2025-extrapol25, LUH3-2026-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover|Cropland | Land Cover|Cropland | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(FAOSTAT-2026, LUH2-2020, LUH2-GCB-2025, LUH3-2026) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover|Cropland | Land Cover|Cropland | World, All Countries | 2025 | range(FAOSTAT-2026-extrapol25, LUH2-GCB-2025-extrapol25, LUH3-2026-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover|Forest | Land Cover|Forest | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(FAOSTAT-2026, LUH2-2020, LUH2-GCB-2025, LUH3-2026) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover|Forest | Land Cover|Forest | World, All Countries | 2025 | range(FAOSTAT-2026, LUH2-GCB-2025-extrapol25, LUH3-2026-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover|Pasture | Land Cover|Pasture | World, All Countries | 2010, 2015, 2020 | range(FAOSTAT-2026, LUH2-2020, LUH2-GCB-2025, LUH3-2026) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Land Cover|Pasture | Land Cover|Pasture | World, All Countries | 2025 | range(FAOSTAT-2026-extrapol25, LUH2-GCB-2025-extrapol25, LUH3-2026-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Coal | Primary Energy|Coal | World | 2010, 2015 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610, EI-2023) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Coal | Primary Energy|Coal | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610, IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Coal | Primary Energy|Coal | World | 2025 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25, EI-2023-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Gas | Primary Energy|Gas | World | 2010, 2015 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610, EI-2023) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Gas | Primary Energy|Gas | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610, IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Gas | Primary Energy|Gas | World | 2025 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25, EI-2023-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Oil | Primary Energy|Oil | World | 2010, 2015 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610, EI-2023) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Oil | Primary Energy|Oil | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610, IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Oil | Primary Energy|Oil | World | 2025 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25, EI-2023-extrapol25) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Nuclear | Primary Energy|Nuclear | World | 2010, 2015 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Nuclear | Primary Energy|Nuclear | World | 2020 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Nuclear | Primary Energy|Nuclear | World | 2025 | IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Final Energy | Final Energy | World | 2010, 2015 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Final Energy | Final Energy | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610, IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Final Energy | Final Energy | World | 2025 | IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2025 | GW | failed | 1866.7 | 3271.7 | |
| Historical Vetting|Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind | World | 2025 | GW | failed | 1066 | 1550 | |
| Historical Vetting|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2025 | GW | failed | 986 | 1422 |
Feasibility Concern
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | EVALUATION OUTCOME | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feasibility Concern|Biodiversity | Terrestrial Biodiversity|Biodiversity Intactness Index | World | 2030 | %/yr | medium | -0.11 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Deforestation | Forest Area Change|Deforestation | World | 2030 | million ha/yr | medium | 16 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Deforestation | Forest Area Change|Deforestation|Primary | World | 2030 | million ha/yr | medium | 12 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Forest Expansion | Forest Area Change|Forest Expansion | World | 2030 | million ha/yr | medium | 10 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Forest Expansion | Forest Area Change|Forest Expansion|Planted | World | 2030 | million ha/yr | medium | 5 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Land Cover | Land Cover | World | 2030 | million ha | high | 11554 | 14318 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1265.78 | 1727.78 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | World | 2030 | GW | high | 1051.2 | 2278.98 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | All Countries | 2030 | IEA-HSMR-2021-low-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | All Countries | 2030 | IEA-HSMR-2021-high-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 273.18 | 474.39 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2030 | GW | high | 0 | 507.1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | All Countries | 2030 | IAEA-PRIS-2026-low-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | All Countries | 2030 | IAEA-PRIS-2026-high-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2030 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 50.95 | 190.06 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2030 | Mt CO2/yr | high | 0 | 457.93 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | All Countries | 2030 | IEA-CCUS-2026-low-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | All Countries | 2030 | IEA-CCUS-2026-high-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2035 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 1300 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2040 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 4300 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|DACCS Capacity | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage|Direct Air Capture | World | 2050 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 4900 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 4434.9 | 7843.8 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2030 | GW | high | 2940.6 | 10272.1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | All Countries | 2030 | IRENA-RCS-2025-BNEF-2024-low-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | All Countries | 2030 | IRENA-RCS-2025-BNEF-2024-high-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1776 | 2736 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind | World | 2030 | GW | high | 1351 | 3407 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind | All Countries | 2030 | IRENA-RCS-2025-BNEF-2024-low-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind | All Countries | 2030 | IRENA-RCS-2025-BNEF-2024-high-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1585 | 2402 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2030 | GW | high | 1223 | 2970 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | All Countries | 2030 | IRENA-RCS-2025-BNEF-2024-low-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | All Countries | 2030 | IRENA-RCS-2025-BNEF-2024-high-proj | dimensionless | medium | 1 |
Sustainability Concern
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | EVALUATION OUTCOME | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sustainability Concern|Food Availability | Food Availability [per capita] | World | kcal/cap/day | high | 2220 | 4000 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Food Availability | Food Availability [per capita] | World | kcal/cap/day | medium | 2520 | 3750 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Biodiversity | Terrestrial Biodiversity|Biodiversity Intactness Index | World | 2030 | %/yr | medium | 0 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Deforestation | Forest Area Change|Deforestation | World | 2030 | million ha/yr | medium | 0 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Deforestation | Forest Area Change|Deforestation|Primary | World | 2030 | million ha/yr | medium | 0 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Unsustainable Bioenergy Use | Primary Energy|Biomass | World | EJ/yr | medium | 100 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Unsustainable Bioenergy Use | Primary Energy|Biomass | World | EJ/yr | high | 245 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Unsustainable Hydropower Use | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | World | GW | high | 1500 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Exceeding Prudent Limit For Geological Carbon Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | World | cumulative[2020-2100] | Mt CO2 | high | 1.46e+06 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Exceeding Prudent Limit For Geological Carbon Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | World | cumulative[2020-2100] | Mt CO2 | medium | 1.29e+06 |