Feasibility Concern|Biodiversity
Why this criterion? This scenario reports a near-term decline of biodiversity intactness that is stronger than what has been reported historically.
This is a concern because this near-term trend is inconsistent with historically change rates.
The Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) targets halting human-induced species extinction by 2030, which we interpret as halting reducing biodiversity intactness by 2030.
Why this threshold? Historical values for the change rate of biodiversity intactness are reported by (Pereira, 2024).
The threshold is set as the lowest historical change rate.
| Loading ITables v2.8.1 from the internet... (need help?) |
Sources
| Identifier | Bibliographic information | Links |
|---|---|---|
|
Henrique M. Pereira, Inês S. Martins, Isabel M. D. Rosa, HyeJin Kim, Paul Leadley, Alexander Popp, Detlef P. van Vuuren, George Hurtt, Luise Quoss, Almut Arneth, Daniele Baisero, Michel Bakkenes, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Louise Chini, Moreno Di Marco, Simon Ferrier, Shinichiro Fujimori, Carlos A. Guerra, Michael Harfoot, Thomas D. Harwood, Tomoko Hasegawa, Vanessa Haverd, Petr Havlík, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Akiko Hirata, Andrew J. Hoskins, Florian Humpenöder, Jan H. Janse, Walter Jetz, Justin A. Johnson, Andreas Krause, David Leclère, Tetsuya Matsui, Johan R. Meijer, Cory Merow, Michael Obersteiner, Haruka Ohashi, Adriana De Palma, Benjamin Poulter, Andy Purvis, Benjamin Quesada, Carlo Rondinini, Aafke M. Schipper, Josef Settele, Richard Sharp, Elke Stehfest, Bernardo B. N. Strassburg, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Matthew V. Talluto, Wilfried Thuiller, Nicolas Titeux, Piero Visconti, Christopher Ware, Florian Wolf, and Rob Alkemade. Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050. Science, 384(6694):458–465, April 2024. | DOI |