Thresholds
Each criterion is defined with one or more upper and/or lower threshold values. Scenarios with reported values outside the range are marker with the respective evaluation outcome.
The possible evaluation outcomes depend on the criterion type.
Feasibility and sustainability concerns mark scenarios as either ok, medium
or high, whereas historical vetting mark scenarios as ok or failed.
Scenarios that do not report all variables that are part of the vetting are
marked as insufficient reporting. Feasibility and sustainability concerns
where the relevant variable is not reported by the scenario are marked as
not assigned.
Some thresholds are defined in relation to some reference, as set by the reference data column. The reference data is defined separately. The values defined as thresholds therefore have to be multiplied with the values from the reference data before applying the criteria to scenario data.
Historical Vetting
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | EVALUATION OUTCOME | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | World | 2010, 2015 | CEDS-2025 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | World | 2020 | range(CEDS-2025,CEDS-2025-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | World | 2025 | CEDS-2025-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Coal | Primary Energy|Coal | World | 2010, 2015 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Coal | Primary Energy|Coal | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610,IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Coal | Primary Energy|Coal | World | 2025 | IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Gas | Primary Energy|Gas | World | 2010, 2015 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Gas | Primary Energy|Gas | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610,IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Gas | Primary Energy|Gas | World | 2025 | IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Oil | Primary Energy|Oil | World | 2010, 2015 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Oil | Primary Energy|Oil | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610,IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Oil | Primary Energy|Oil | World | 2025 | IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Nuclear | Primary Energy|Nuclear | World | 2010, 2015 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Nuclear | Primary Energy|Nuclear | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610,IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy|Nuclear | Primary Energy|Nuclear | World | 2025 | IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Final Energy | Final Energy | World | 2010, 2015 | IEA-ESDB-20250610 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Final Energy | Final Energy | World | 2020 | range(IEA-ESDB-20250610,IEA-ESDB-20250610-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Historical Vetting|Final Energy | Final Energy | World | 2025 | IEA-ESDB-20250610-extrapol25 | dimensionless | failed | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Feasibility Concern
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | EVALUATION OUTCOME | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1175.37 | 1606.66 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | World | 2030 | GW | high | 979.43 | 2117.58 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 320.33 | 441.92 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2030 | GW | high | 0 | 507.1 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2030 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 44.02 | 152.47 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2030 | Mt CO2/yr | high | 0 | 457.89 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2035 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 1300 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Carbon Capture and Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage, Carbon Capture | World | 2040 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 4300 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 4350.2 | 8163.7 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2030 | GW | high | 2683.2 | 10896 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1719 | 2853 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2030 | GW | high | 1220 | 3655 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1719 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind | World | 2030 | GW | high | 1220 |
Sustainability Concern
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | EVALUATION OUTCOME | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sustainability Concern|Food Availability | Food Availability [per capita] | World | kcal/cap/day | medium | 2100 | 5000 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Unsustainable Bioenergy Use | Primary Energy|Biomass | World | EJ/yr | medium | 100 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Unsustainable Bioenergy Use | Primary Energy|Biomass | World | EJ/yr | high | 245 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Exceeding Prudent Limit For Geological Carbon Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | World | cumulative[2020-2100] | Gt CO2 | high | 1460 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Exceeding Prudent Limit For Geological Carbon Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | World | cumulative[2020-2100] | Gt CO2 | medium | 1290 |